The Chicago Bears (3-5) will visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) on Monday Night Football. The Steelers won a defensive battle against the division-rival Cleveland Browns in Week 8, earning a 15-10 victory. Head coach Matt Nagy will return to the sidelines for the Chicago Bears after missing last week’s loss to the San Francisco 49ers due to COVID-19. The Under has hit in six of the last seven Bears games and six of the last eight Steelers games.

Kickoff from Heinz Field is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Pittsburgh is favored by seven points in the latest Bears vs. Steelers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is 39. Before locking in any Steelers vs. Bears picks, you have to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-86 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has broken down Bears vs. Steelers on Monday Night Football. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and trends for Steelers vs. Bears:

• Bears vs. Steelers spread: Steelers -7
• Bears vs. Steelers over-under: 39 points
• Bears vs. Steelers money line: PIT -320, CHI +250
• PIT: Steelers are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games in November
• CHI: Under is 5-1 in Bears’ last six Monday Night Football games

Featured Game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears

Why the Steelers can cover

The Steelers are going up against one of the worst offensive lines in the league. The Chicago Bears have allowed 30 sacks on the year, which are the most in the league. Pittsburgh is tied for sixth in the NFL with 19 sacks, and outside linebacker T.J. Watt is one of the most dominant edge rushers.

Watt is tied for second in the NFL with 8.5 sacks. He is also tied for third with three forced fumbles. The 2017 first-round pick has registered a sack in five of his seven games played and dominated the Seattle Seahawks in Week 6. He logged a season-high seven total tackles (six solo). In overtime, Watt stripped Seattle quarterback Geno Smith to help set up the game-winning field goal. 

Why the Bears can cover

Rookie running back Khalil Herbert has stepped up in the absence of fellow running back David Montgomery (knee). Herbert is second among rookies with 351 yards on 81 carries. The Virginia Tech product has gone over 100 scrimmage yards in consecutive weeks against the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Last week against the San Francisco 49ers, rookie quarterback Justin Fields finished with 278 yards from scrimmage. He went 19-of-27 for 175 yards with a passing touchdown. He also had 10 carries for 103 yards and a score.  He flashed his elite rushing ability and hopes to bring that momentum into Monday Night Football.

How to make Bears vs. Steelers picks

The model has zeroed in on Monday Night Football’s Steelers vs. Bears matchup. It’s leaning over the total, with the model projecting the teams to combine for 40 points. It also says that one side of the spread cashes well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get these picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Steelers vs. Bears on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Steelers vs. Bears spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 128-86 roll on its top-rated NFL picks.