Time to rejoice because the Premier League returns and tipster Jones Knows is within the chair to preview all 10 matches. He fancies Brighton at Manchester United.

Wolves vs Liverpool, Saturday 12.30pm

I’m beginning to sense that Liverpool may simply be those to place it as much as Manchester City this season.

It is not a view shared by the market, who’ve Arsenal favourites within the “without Man City” outright checklist at 11/8 with Sky Bet and Liverpool at 13/8. Yet, I’d be fairly assured at this stage of getting a match-bet at Evens with anybody for Liverpool to complete above Arsenal. Form an orderly queue.

That “purr” related to all the good Jurgen Klopp groups has returned. It was on full present throughout their harmful dismantling of an albeit overrated however nonetheless harmful Aston Villa facet earlier than the worldwide break.

When Klopp’s staff play with such razzmatazz and ruthlessness within the remaining third, they will rating two or three targets in a blink of a watch. To probably have discovered that capability once more to take video games away from groups in a brief interval makes them such a harmful outfit, able to operating riot at any level. That could occur right here so the Liverpool -2 handicap seems good at 11/4 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-3

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm

I’ll be testing out a idea over the subsequent few weekends: Aston Villa are overrated by the markets.

They went off as brief as 4/1 with Sky Bet to beat Liverpool at Anfield. At the beginning of the season they had been the identical worth as Brighton for a top-four end. It’s all a bit excessive, no? They barely laid a glove on Liverpool and had been thumped at Newcastle too, keep in mind.

Unai Emery has a historical past of overachieving within the early phases of a brand new job. He did it at Arsenal the place he racked up a 70 per cent win ratio in his first 20 matches earlier than it dropped to 50 per cent in his remaining 58 video games as boss.

Despite Villa successful every of their final eight Premier League video games at Villa Park, I’m all for taking Crystal Palace on the double likelihood choice at 10/11 with Sky Bet. Palace have solely misplaced solely three of 14 Premier League video games since Roy Hodgson returned as boss and he’s truly unbeaten in three conferences with Emery when the Spaniard was at Arsenal.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Crystal Palace double chance (10/11 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

Fulham vs Luton, Saturday 3pm

Backing Luton centre-backs throughout numerous attacking output markets seems a worthwhile path with the costs on supply. We’ve seen already the Hatters are a closely set-piece-reliant staff, following on from final season the place 32 per cent of their anticipated targets got here by way of set-pieces. They play for territory, they play direct they usually look to threaten from dead-ball conditions.

Mads Andersen, who scored in opposition to West Ham, is a big and shall be venturing ahead with intent this season in a way more set-piece-oriented facet than his former membership Barnsley had been. I’m anticipating his photographs, touches within the opposition field and targets knowledge to spike. That’s why taking the 6/5 with Sky Bet on him simply registering a number of photographs seems an enormous slice of worth.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Manchester United vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Brighton are nearly changing into an automated again now when enjoying in opposition to a top-four chasing rival when priced because the outsiders. Roberto De Zerbi’s barnstorming facet enhanced their fame and total report in opposition to the so-called greater boys when dismantling Newcastle earlier than the break.

In their final 21 matches throughout all competitions in opposition to Man City, Man Utd, Liverpool, Chelsea, Newcastle, Tottenham and Arsenal, Brighton have received 12 of these fixtures, successful the combination rating 38-27. The 2/1 for an away win at Old Trafford in opposition to a Manchester United facet that possess flaws throughout the pitch, is a tempter.

That is an efficient wager. This subsequent one is a good wager.

It revolves round Brighton and England centre-back Lewis Dunk making a number of fouls at Evens. Rasmus Hojlund goes to trigger chaos in assault for United together with his aggressive nature and all-action model. The striker did not look fazed by the event when making his debut at Arsenal, latching himself onto the ultra-physical Gabriel from the second he entered the fray and he blended it in some heavyweight one-on-one duels.

He has drawn 19 fouls throughout his final 12 appearances for membership and nation and it will likely be Dunk tasked with partaking him. Dunk averages simply 0.40 fouls a recreation over his final 25 matches, which means the worth spat out by the algorithm makes him the outsider of all Brighton gamers to make a foul. That seems a rick to me. Backing him to make two or extra fouls at 5/1 can be considerably overpriced. Punish such slack pricing.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Lewis Dunk to make a foul (Evens with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

Tottenham vs Sheffield United, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

It’s going to be enjoyable instances underneath Ange Postecoglou. Tottenham will provide you with an opportunity, although – even to a staff with such limitations as Sheffield United.

Spurs have confronted 19 photographs on course throughout their 4 matches in opposition to Burnley, Bournemouth, Manchester United and Brentford. The Blades stay a blunt outfit going ahead however there may be a minimum of hope now that this season will not be an entire write-off with Gustavo Hamer impressing in enjoying off Oli McBurnie and Cameron Archer in opposition to Everton.

Hamer has posted 4 photographs on course in his three begins for Sheffield United from a job which supplies him licence to affix assaults and that wholesome common follows on from his knowledge with Coventry, the place he posted 20 photographs on course in his final 15 begins. All that proof makes the 6/4 with Sky Bet on supply for him to have a minimum of one shot on course right here very interesting whereas the 22/1 quotes about his first goalscorer probabilities are also price some respect.

SCORE PREDICTION: 4-1

West Ham vs Manchester City, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

The approach to method the outright market on this one is to ask your self: the place do you assume West Ham will end this season? As when you have them as a backside half facet, then you need to actually leap on the likelihood to again Manchester City at 10/11 with Sky Bet for them to win and underneath 4.5 targets within the match. In their final 40 matches away from dwelling in opposition to backside 10 groups within the Premier League, 31 of these video games have seen City win and underneath 4.5 targets land, which equates to a 77 per cent win ratio.

When you flip that proportion into odds, you get 2/7, which is significantly shorter than the ten/11 accessible with Sky Bet. It’s a pleasant edge for these score West Ham’s spectacular begin to the season as an outlier.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

Newcastle vs Brentford, Saturday Night Football, 5.30m, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Nick Pope’s kind is quietly changing into a problem for Newcastle. His solely clear sheet in his final 15 Premier League video games got here in a 0-0 draw vs Leicester in May whereas additional again, he is solely saved two clear sheets within the final 22 Premier League video games having beforehand saved six in a row. When assessing the important thing photographs confronted knowledge throughout that six-game run of shut-outs to now, Newcastle are dealing with an nearly equivalent quantity of photographs per recreation and their photographs on course confronted and anticipated targets in opposition to report have solely barely worsened. That exhibits Pope, who was at fault for the important thing opening objective in opposition to Brighton, merely is not performing to his optimum ranges that laid the foundations for Newcastle’s surge up the desk final season. It’s why he is misplaced his England place. It’s why Newcastle are discovering it tougher to win video games.

How can we revenue, then?

Simple, actually. Back one of the vital in-form marksman in Europe to attain at St James’ Park. Brentford are unbeaten in all 9 Premier League video games because the begin of final season with out Ivan Toney (W5 D4) and Bryan Mbeumo has 9 targets in these video games. Since the beginning of final season, he’s averaging a objective each 90 minutes when enjoying with out Toney, in comparison with a objective each 826 minutes after they play collectively.

I used to be due to this fact stunned to see odds of 100/30 with Sky Bet accessible on him discovering the online at anytime whereas the 22/1 with Sky Bet for him to attain two or extra are also price consideration.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Bryan Mbuemo to score (100/30 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

Bournemouth vs Chelsea, Super Sunday, 2pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

The objective expectancy seems too excessive in a recreation between two groups who’ve vital issues in assault.

Chelsea can level to their huge likelihood created tally of 11 this season – no facet has created extra – as a bit of proof to point out that their soccer is flowing and all that’s lacking is the end. But they’ve flaky finishers. That’s the problem, and one which certainly will not resolve itself, regardless of how robust the general likelihood creation metrics are. I’d be assured of targets remaining an issue whereas the gamers in that frontline stay the identical.

Since the beginning of October 2022, Chelsea’s Premier League video games have seen 78 targets, the fewest of any facet excluding the three promoted groups, figuring out at a median of two.16 per 90 minutes. Plus, Chelsea have scored greater than as soon as simply seven instances of their final 33 video games in all competitions.

That makes the 5/4 with Sky Bet on this recreation going underneath the two.5 objective line very interesting, particularly with Bournemouth nonetheless struggling to seek out their identification underneath Andoni Iraola. Only Sheffield United and Burnley have created fewer huge probabilities than the Cherries this season, with none of these coming of their two dwelling video games with West Ham and Tottenham.

At the time of writing, there have been 51 Premier League video games performed because the final 0-0 draw. I am unable to resist the 14/1 with Sky Bet on this breaking that run.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-0 JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Under 3.5 goals (4/7 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

Everton vs Arsenal, Super Sunday, 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Bravery awards to these backing Arsenal right here at 1/2 with Sky Bet.

They look ripe for taking over, with the Goodison Park issue firmly at play. There is a singular ambiance for high-profile video games in a selected timeslot on the nice previous floor. That definitely is an element to contemplate when weighing up chances for a match final result, particularly when Everton are buying and selling at north of 5/1 for the win.

In the final 19 video games performed within the Sunday 4.30pm slot or Monday evening at Goodison Park, Everton are unbeaten in 17 of these. Of these 19 outcomes, Everton received 11 of these matches, together with when underdogs in opposition to Manchester United in 2012, Chelsea in 2019 and Arsenal in 2021.

The Goodison Park issue is a robust sufficient case anyway, however once you throw within the psychological issue of Arsenal’s current report there of being winless within the final 5 journeys, shedding 4 of these, it makes the case for a pro-Everton play even stronger. I’m completely satisfied they will climb the desk over the subsequent few weeks now they have a match and cell centre-forward to hit in Beto, who regarded the most effective participant on the pitch for the primary 60 minutes within the 2-2 with Sheffield United. Home win.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley, Monday Night Football, 8pm, reside on Sky Sports

I’m nonetheless making an attempt to work Burnley out, which makes this prediction lark very robust. Have they regressed over the summer season? Or is Vincent Kompany slowing constructing his new-look squad as much as the rigours of Premier League soccer? I would not be stunned by a house win, draw or away win right here, so I’m not a lot to assist to you on that entrance.

What is evident is that Taiwo Awoniyi is changing into the actual deal at Nottingham Forest. Improving gamers is what Steve Cooper is all about. And what’s going to take the supervisor to a top-six job in time, or maybe, the England position if he fancied it.

Awoniyi has picked up from the place he left off final season, scoring in seven consecutive video games and because the begin of May, the Forest striker has even outscored Erling Haaland within the Premier League, regardless of enjoying a recreation fewer. In a extremely tough betting warmth, hold it easy and again him to attain first at 4/1 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Stream Premier League action on Sky Sports with NOW for just £26 a month for 12 months. Cancel anytime.