A Big Sam bounce for Leeds? More like a thud, predicts Jones Knows, who takes purpose on the 10 Premier League video games throughout the lengthy weekend.

Manchester City vs Leeds, Saturday 3pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Clubs have been taking a look at that massive crimson panic button all season. Don’t contact it. It’s just for emergencies.

West Ham might have hit it. Forest will need to have been tempted. Southampton can have regrets.

No-one knew what was behind it. Until now.

Well, he is massive. And his title is Sam.

As my colleague Adam Bate writes, the priority shall be that it’s a while since Sam Allardyce showcased his finest work. I’d be deflated if I used to be a Leeds fan. His solely job in 5 years ended two years in the past. West Brom have been two factors from security when he was appointed in December. They have been relegated in May, ending 13 factors adrift. This Leeds squad stays unhealthily unbalanced, filled with high-energy gamers with potential and operating capability favoured for a high-risk supervisor, like Jesse Marsch. There shall be little danger beneath Allardyce. Defend in numbers. Defend effectively.

It’s a comparatively easy philosophy to educate right into a staff, however much better defenders than what Leeds possess have tried and failed spectacularly to smash and seize their method out of an away fixture at Manchester City. With Pep Guardiola’s eyes probably wandering to midweek and Real Madrid, the cue could go on the rack when the primary or second aim hits the web. That makes the beneath 3.5 targets play at 10/11 with Sky Bet look barely tempting, however this recreation is dud of a betting warmth.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0

Bournemouth vs Chelsea, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

It’s the achievers’ derby. The season’s overachievers meet the underachievers. You might have had any worth you wished on Bournemouth – favourites for relegation initially of the marketing campaign – being stage on factors with Chelsea come May. The Cherries have received six of their final 9 Premier League video games – solely Man City, Newcastle and Aston Villa have taken extra factors in that interval. Meanwhile, Chelsea have taken two factors from a potential 21 – actually pathetic for a staff with such riches. There is not a lot proof to counsel that angle or staff cohesion will enhance for this encounter, so the Bournemouth win at 5/2 with Sky Bet seems to be bordering on too good to be true territory.

Frank Lampard has misplaced 14 of final 15 video games in all competitions as a supervisor – add one other one to the pile.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

One concept I’ve developed through the years in relation to recognizing a probably worthwhile angle is the correlation between a participant’s efficiency and the size of their contract remaining. It’s exhausting to correlate knowledge to showcase my argument but it surely’s uncanny how way more enthusiastic and motivated a participant will be when a contract is operating down. In equity, Wilfried Zaha is a constant performer for Palace but he’s only some weeks away from his deal on the membership expiring and the 31-year-old shall be a tempting proposition on a free switch for a few of Europe’s high golf equipment. Arsenal and PSG have reportedly made contact.

A barnstorming finish to the season with Palace might make all of the distinction between golf equipment deciding on Zaha, so I’ll be investing on him to make a distinction in video games – like he did final weekend at West Ham the place he acquired on the scoresheet in an all-action efficiency. He is 15/2 with Sky Bet to attain first this weekend and the 11/8 on him both scoring or helping is also price a glance.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Wolves vs Aston Villa, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

As rivalries go, this one wouldn’t maintain a candle to many internationally – however with each Birmingham and West Brom down within the Sky Bet Championship, this recreation does have added spice. Fans want a derby repair and this conflict supplies it.

Recent conferences do paint the image of some dangerous blood. In the previous seven video games within the Premier League, there have been 39 yellows and two crimson playing cards proven, which works out to a median of 60 reserving factors per match.

That factors in the direction of the 50 or extra reserving factors line at Evens with Sky Bet price an curiosity – and Aston Villa being exhausting to beat as soon as once more.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

Liverpool vs Brentford, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Since Jurgen Klopp tweaked Trent Alexander-Arnold’s place forward of the draw with Arsenal, Liverpool’s efficiency ranges have spiked, with there being way more emphasis on his inventive expertise being utilised in a extra central place. In his final six appearances, he’s registering 17 per cent extra touches within the centre of the pitch whereas his touches down the correct flank knowledge has dropped by over 40 per cent.

He has registered six assists in that interval – that is 4 greater than he managed within the earlier 27 Premier League appearances whereas his total attacking metrics are extremely spectacular. No Premier League participant within the final six video games has created extra probabilities (15), had extra touches of the ball (675) or made extra penalty field entries (63) than Alexander-Arnold. All this proof factors in the direction of the 15/8 with Sky Bet on him registering one other help being a slice of worth. But we will push it additional when assessing the opposition.

This tactical tweak to see Alexander-Arnold play extra centrally goes to extend his aim and photographs output over the longer-term. We began to see indicators of it in opposition to Fulham in midweek, the place he registered three photographs, nearly scoring with a daisy-cutter drive that whipped previous the submit. He’s now had six photographs in his final three video games – all of which got here from outdoors the field.

Brentford are on the town, who notoriously defend deep and permit opposition groups loads of house outdoors their field. They have confronted essentially the most photographs (214) and photographs heading in the right direction (69) from outdoors the field this season within the Premier League. This ought to see Alexander-Arnold drift into harmful positions for strikes on aim, so the 11/4 with Sky Bet for him to have a shot heading in the right direction from outdoors the field seems to be to have potential – as does the 9/1 for him to attain from outdoors the field. Remember, he’s additionally on free-kicks which provides an additional avenue of assault for each bets.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Newcastle vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

With attracts no good for Arsenal, this has the texture of an incident-packed encounter involving two groups with historical past and a growing needle. The 0-0 draw earlier within the marketing campaign noticed the 2 managers have phrases on the touchline in a recreation that produced 9 yellow playing cards, following on from the 2-0 win for Newcastle final season the place Arsenal’s high 4 cost floundered in spectacular style.

Mikel Arteta’s boys must play with bravery and danger to try to change into simply the third staff to beat Newcastle at St James’ Park within the final 24 Premier League fixtures to be able to preserve tabs on Manchester City.

Eddie’s Howe males, who’re averaging 2.9 targets per recreation over the past 9 fixtures, will subsequently get loads of moments to show an Arsenal defence that continues to be on the decline having conceded 14 targets of their seven matches. Teams are discovering it simpler to create high quality probabilities in opposition to the Gunners, who’ve solely saved six clear sheets of their final 24 fixtures throughout all competitions.

Goals could circulate recurrently at both finish, so the 4/5 on each groups scoring and over 2.5 targets does make enchantment in a recreation the place Arsenal’s title problem seems to be prone to formally finish.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-2

West Ham vs Manchester United, Sunday 7pm

Backing opposition groups to make quick begins in opposition to West Ham on the London Stadium has been a worthwhile technique this season – and it seems to be a runner once more right here.

Opposition groups have managed to submit two or extra photographs heading in the right direction in 13 of the final 15 first halves of Premier League video games on the London Stadium. The solely two that did not handle that have been Everton in Frank Lampard’s final recreation and Southampton.

I’d totally anticipate United to cowl their photographs heading in the right direction within the first half line of three or extra at 11/10, however I’d go additional than that with assured expectations round them beginning quick. Erik ten Hag’s facet have been main on the break in six of their final 9 fixtures and squandered 1.35 price of first half anticipated targets in opposition to Brighton on Thursday night time. United have additionally stopped the opposition from scoring a primary half aim in 25 of their 33 Premier League video games, greater than every other facet this season.

So, a method of getting a United optimistic consequence in your facet at a good worth can be to again United to win the primary half at 6/4 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Fulham vs Leicester, Monday 3pm

If Leicester are to go down, they’re going down swinging. In the 4 video games beneath Dean Smith there have been 13 targets scored, working to a 3.25 common – above common however nothing spectacular. However, should you dig into the anticipated targets knowledge, then these matches have yielded 18.1 targets in response to the standard of probabilities created – that is 4.5 anticipated targets per recreation and the matches have definitely felt end-to-end and a bit chaotic on the attention.

This recreation might observe go well with and the market hasn’t factored within the Smith chaos issue as 4/5 for over 2.5 targets is out there with Sky Bet. Leicester have additionally confronted a median of 16.5 photographs per recreation beneath Smith, with Everton managing to submit 24 in that extraordinary recreation on Monday Night Football. This had led me to the participant photographs market the place Fulham’s most potent attacking weapon, Willian, charges as a juicy guess to fireplace photographs. He’s had 10 in his final three begins with him showcasing all of the zip and directness of when he was at his finest for Chelsea. The 2/1 with Sky Bet for him to submit three or extra photographs and 11/2 for 4 or extra photographs ought to present an ideal run to your cash.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Brighton vs Everton, Monday 5.30pm

For a staff that go off so brief available in the market, Brighton do include a warning for those who wish to again groups at odds-on within the match consequence markets. There is an air of inconsistency relating to their capability to search out their well beyond a well-organised low block at house. Fulham beat them 1-0, Nottingham Forest floor out a 0-0 whereas Crystal Palace and Bournemouth have been each solely seen off by a solitary aim. The likes of Karou Mitoma and Julio Enciso are scary skills, however they do lack a little bit of ruthlessness in entrance of aim.

Everton’s purpose shall be to remain within the recreation for so long as potential and attempt to construct some momentum from set items. That tactic is way simpler with Dominic Calvert-Lewin main the road. Everton to win or draw at 9/4 with Sky Bet stands out on the costs.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton, Monday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports

If Southampton had the authority, energy and battle required to win a soccer match away on the City Ground – a correct hotbed beneath the floodlights – then they would not be lower adrift on the backside. Games have come and gone. No factors have been taken. The finish is nigh for them.

Forest, who’re aggressive and possess loads of nastiness to their recreation, are prone to swallow timid Saints up within the firepit environment.

Steve Cooper’s staff have discovered a method at house, taking 24 factors there this season and have misplaced simply two of their final 13 video games at their well-known previous floor. The house win at 11/10 with Sky Bet definitely is a tempter.

Morgan Gibbs-White stays overpriced within the goalscorer markets too. A participant of his expertise should not be 4/1 to attain in opposition to the basement boys. He averages two photographs in house matches this season, scoring thrice to a backdrop of 4.12 price of anticipated targets, showcasing an underperformance in response to high quality of probability created.

Also, penalty duties now could fall at his door having scored from the spot in opposition to Brighton whereas Brennan Johnson, who missed earlier within the recreation, was off the pitch. The 6/1 for Gibbs-White to attain in a house win charges as a backable wager.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0