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An evaluation of Thursday’s Assembly results from the three Northeast states that went to polls exhibits that 10 seats in Tripura, 15 in Meghalaya and 19 in Nagaland had been received by a margin of lower than 1,000 votes. The common profitable margin within the states was 5,009, 3,186, and a couple of,975, respectively.
All three states have 60 Assembly seats every.
Tripura
The state’s Jubarajnagar Assembly constituency — the place the CPI(M)’s Sailendra Chandra Nath defeated the BJP’s Malina Debnath by solely 296 votes — recorded the bottom victory margin. The highest profitable margin was in Takarjala, the place the TIPRA Motha’s Biswajit Kalai defeated the Indigenous People’s Front’s (IPFT) Bidhan Deb Barma by 32,455 votes.
A complete of 10 seats had been received by a margin under 1,000 votes. Additionally, 13 seats noticed a margin between 1,000 and a couple of,000 votes; eight seats recorded margins between 2,001 and three,000 votes; two seats between 3,001 and 4,000 votes; eight seats between 4,001 and 5,000 votes; whereas 19 seats noticed a victory margin of over 5,000 votes.
While the BJP returned to power, the social gathering’s seat tally, vote share and common victory margin declined compared to the 2018 Assembly election outcomes. In 2018, the BJP had received 36 seats by a median profitable margin of 4,606 votes, and secured a vote share of 43.59 per cent. In 2023, whereas the BJP tally got here right down to 32, its common victory margin was 3,458 votes and its vote share 38.97 per cent.
However, the BJP stood second throughout 21 seats in 2023, as in opposition to 16 seats in 2018 — displaying the enlargement of the social gathering’s base.
The social gathering’s common victory margin (3,458 votes) throughout its tally, although, was decrease than its common trailing margin (3,764 votes) within the 21 seats the place it completed runner-up.
Of its 32 seats, the BJP received 18 in opposition to the Left Front – 16 in opposition to the CPI(M), and 1 every in opposition to the All India Forward Bloc (AIFB) and RSP — 7 in opposition to the Congress, 6 in opposition to the TIPRA Motha, and 1 in opposition to an Independent.
In the 2018 meeting elections, of the BJP’s 36 seats, 33 had come in opposition to the CPI(M), and 1 every in opposition to the AIFB, IPFT and RSP. The BJP had later allied with the IPFT; the tribal social gathering fought with the BJP in a pre-poll coalition this time.
The TIPRA Motha received most of its seats in opposition to the BJP. The events noticed a direct contest in 13 seats, of which seven had been received by the TIPRA. It received 4 in opposition to the CPI(M) and a couple of in opposition to the IPFT, ending because the second-largest social gathering with 13 seats.
The TIPRA Motha additionally recorded the best common profitable margin of all events in Tripura, at 11,668 votes.
The CPI(M) which received 11 seats, and its associate Congress that obtained 3, received all their seats in opposition to the BJP. However, in seats the place there was a direct contest between the CPI(M) and BJP, the latter received extra seats – of 27 such seats, the BJP received 16.
The CPI(M) additionally received by common decrease margins, and misplaced by common greater margins.
While its common victory margin throughout its 11 seats was 1,692 votes — down from 3,305 in 2018 – its common trailing margin within the 21 seats it got here second was 5,347 votes. Its common trailing margin therefore rose from 2018’s 4,638 votes.
The Congress clearly benefited from the “understanding” with the CPI(M) – the events insisted it was not an alliance. The Congress received 3 seats, in opposition to 0 in 2018, and its vote share elevated from 1.86 per cent to eight.56 per cent. Its common profitable margin was 6,406 votes, nearly double the BJP’s.
Nagaland
The lowest victory margin right here was in Western Angami constituency, the place the candidate of the Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party (NDPP), Salhoutuonuo Kruse, defeated Independent nominee Keneizhakho Nakhro by simply 7 votes.
Kruse was one of many two girls to win this time in Nagaland, changing into the primary girls MLAs to ever be elected within the state. The second girl MLA additionally belongs to the NDPP.
The highest victory margin was recorded in Ghaspani-I constituency, the place the BJP’s N Jacob Zhimomi defeated Independent V Phushika Aomi by 20,096 votes.
In Nagaland, 19 seats had been determined by a margin of lower than 1,000 votes.
Meghalaya
Across the three states, Meghalaya recorded the lowest average winning margin. Here, 15 seats had been determined by a margin of lower than 1,000 votes. The lowest profitable margin within the state was in Rajabala, the place Mizanur Rahman Kazi of the Trinamool Congress (TMC) defeated Md Abdus Saleh of the National People’s Party (NPP) by simply 10 votes.
The highest profitable margin of 15,648 votes was recorded in Mawlai, with Brightstarwell Marbaniang of the Voice of the People Party defeating Teiborlang Pathaw of the NPP.
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