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–Analysis-
So Iran stands with Syria, Venezuela, Cuba, North Korea, China and Nicaragua in not condemning Russia’s assault on Ukraine. Instead, it’s voicing assist for the battle’s instigator, Russian President Vladimir Putin.
One factor this struggle has achieved for Iran was to swiftly reveal parts within the political institution who favor arming the nation with nuclear weapons, which is in opposition to the regime’s official line on non-proliferation. They embody officers, media analysts and even people normally tagged as reformists, however they principally encompass regime zealots nearer to the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
Reactions in Tehran to the Russian invasion have been enthusiastic, if not at occasions gleeful. Regime hardliners assume Putin attacked to protect Russian-speaking separatists, and naively think about he’s a pacesetter who stands by his allies, even risking a showdown with the West to that finish. Hardliners have additionally reminded moderates or supporters of an entente with the Biden administration — or their “boss” as they sarcastically name President Joe Biden — that the West successfully deserted Ukraine.
Not “ending up like Ukraine”
Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corp Holds Military Exercises on December 22, 2021,
An American plot
Hardliners have blamed an “American plot” for the assault on Ukraine, then concluded that underneath such circumstances, the Islamic Republic wants its ballistic missiles and a nuclear deterrent to defend itself. It should be the primary time they’ve revealed what they hid for years: the need for Iran to have atomic bombs. Ukraine has introduced them out of the closet and impressed them to make their analyses.
On the second day of the invasion, Mehr agency, tied to the state-run Islamic Development Organization, carried out an interview (on Feb. 24) with the Ukrainian ambassador in Tehran, entitled “we should not have lost our nuclear weapons”.
Ukraine lacked the means and expertise to keep up and use a nuclear arsenal.
This appeared to justify extra declarations on the necessity to construct a nuclear bomb, no matter Khamenei’s edict that such weapons are fully illicit. Hardliners have claimed that with an arsenal, the nation wouldn’t “end up like Ukraine.” They neglect that Ukraine was by no means a nuclear state with an arsenal! That belonged to the Soviet Union, and Ukraine lacked the means and expertise to keep up and use a nuclear arsenal.
The Qazvin congregational prayer chief, Ayatollah Abdolkarim Abedini, stated on Feb. 25 that “westerners unjustly disarmed the Ukrainians and gradually brought the country to a state of crisis. They changed the fate of its people and today, have left the country… on fire.” By disarmament, he meant the 1994 Budapest agreements handy the Soviet Union’s weaponry to the Russian Federation.
The cleric claimed the Americans need “in vain” to impose this destiny on Iran, although it “will never abandon its defense and resistance.” No congregational prayer of word in Iran has condemned the invasion.
Khamenei speaks
Iranian supreme chief workplace
Iranian supreme chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei addresses the nation on Ukraine.
Sovereignty is a lie
Danial Me’mar, the editor of the Tehran paper Hamshahri, wrote on Feb. 26 that if Ukraine was helpless now it was as a result of for years it counted on “NATO and Westerners” for defense “instead of… creating a defensive shield for itself.” That, he thinks, is why the ambassador was warning “countries like Iran” to be aware of Ukraine’s “plight, and not to put aside their nuclear shield.”
He wrote that if the Americans have been speaking to Iran “around a table” it was as a result of they understood this was “the only way to face Iran… it is as clear as the day that if they had another solution left… they would seek it out.”
This propaganda line is even being peddled by reformist mouthpieces. The web site Ensaf Newshas successfully distorted the ambassador’s feedback with its headline, “Ukraine Regrets Returning Its Nuclear Warheads!”
Another web site, Jamaran, run by Hasan Khomeini, grandson of the late revolutionary leader Ruhollah Khomeini, says the ambassador merely confirmed that the thought of a world system defending sovereignty “is just a lie” and states “will be defeated” if they can’t guarantee their very own safety. The reformist activist and former hostage-taker on the U.S. embassy in Tehran, Abbas Abdi, tweeted that Ukraine did indeed illustrate “the need for armaments” however, he added, these have been much less vital than public assist for a regime and an “independent policy.”
The regime’s media readily denounce the West’s “hostility,” but says nothing about Russia’s bare aggression. Its propagandists beforehand tried to scare Iranians about Iran turning into “one other Syria” and now warn it may develop into “another Ukraine.” Yet they by no means warn of the specter of another Chernobyl catastrophe in quake-prone Iran. And they appear to neglect — oblivious to the likes of Saddam or Gaddafi — that the destiny of aggressors will also be wretched.
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