1. Talks will presumably start in states the place regional events are main companions, similar to Bihar, Bengal, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu. An settlement within the first two is more likely to be hard-fought given the energy of the events concerned. Deals within the latter two could also be simpler, though in Maharashtra deciding which seats the Congress, the Shiv Sena UBT and the NCP will contest could also be an issue.

2. Bihar’s 40 seats should be cut up between the Congress, the Janata Dal (United) and the Rashtriya Janata Dal. In 2019 the JDU – then with the Bharatiya Janata Party – received 16 of the 17 seats it contested and that places Chief Minister Nitish Kumar in a powerful place. The RJD received zero however it’s unlikely to be minimize out since it’s the largest get together within the Assembly. The JDU cannot rule sans its assist.

3. Sources have mentioned the JDU and the RJD, whose chief Tejashwi Yadav is Deputy Chief Minister, wish to contest an equal variety of seats and divide the remainder among the many Congress (which received only one seat) and smaller outfits. Understandably then, discovering an settlement right here will take time. In reality, the Congress’ Bihar chief, Akhilesh Prasad Singh, has mentioned talks have not formally begun.

4. Over in Maharashtra – which sends 48 MPs to the Lok Sabha – an settlement on division of seats could also be simpler to come back by. There are three INDIA allies right here – the Congress, the Nationalist Congress Party and ex-Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray’s Shiv Sena faction. Sources have mentioned there’s an agreement-in-principle to divide seats equally – 16 every – among the many Maha Vikas Aghadi allies. There can also be consensus that the three will give seats to smaller companions from their very own quota.

5. The problem, although, is allocating seats to allies. An instance – the Mumbai (South Central) seat is held by Rahul Shewale, a Shiv Sena chief who’s now with Eknath Shinde’s camp. The Thackeray faction needs to contest this seat once more however so too does the Congress. The Congress additionally has its eyes on the Mumbai (South) seat held by Arvind Sawant, who remains to be with the Thackeray Sena camp.

6. There shouldn’t be more likely to be any drawback in Tamil Nadu, the place the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam and the Congress have all however settled on a deal. The two contested the 2019 election collectively too and, because it was then, the DMK will get 20 seats and the Congress 9, with the remaining distributed to different coalition companions.

7. And then there’s Bengal and the frosty relations between the ruling Trinamool, the Congress, and the CPIM-led Left Front. Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee is in Spain and discussions over the state’s 42 seats will start on her return. Sources mentioned she might play good with the Congress however a take care of the CPIM will likely be more durable.

8. The job could also be more durable after INDIA introduced plans to push for a caste census – one thing Ms Banerjee opposed. The committee made the announcement on Wednesday – at a gathering the Trinamool’s Abhishek Banerjee was unable to attend due to a “convenient” summons by the Enforcement Directorate

9. Sources have additionally indicated offers are close to for Jammu and Kashmir’s 5 seats – between the Congress, the National Conference and the People’s Democratic Party. The Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party must work out deals for Delhi’s seven and Punjab’s 13 seats and the two are also expected to divide Gujarat’s 26 seats.

10. Across the nation there are additionally 100 others seats wherein the Congress is anticipated to go head-to-head with the BJP. There will, due to this fact, be no seat-sharing for these, sources advised NDTV.

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