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Radar picture of Cyclone Mocha, captured at 11 am on Saturday, May 13.
(India Meteorological Department)
Saturday, May 13: Mirroring its rapid intensification into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm between Thursday and Friday, Cyclone Mocha swiftly strengthened into an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm inside the previous 24 hours. It shall now retain this energy proper till landfall, a number of fashions point out.
As per the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Mocha’ lay centred over east-central Bay of Bengal this morning. As of 5:30 am at this time, it was situated about 570 km north-northwest of Port Blair (Andaman-Nicobar), 730 km south-southwest of Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and 660 km southwest of Sittwe (Myanmar).
The system is anticipated to hit its peak energy throughout at this time’s afternoon and night hours, when it would sport sustained wind speeds of 190-200 kmph, gusting to 220 kmph.
Some of this energy can be misplaced proper earlier than it approaches the land, and subsequently, Mocha will make landfall as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm with a most sustained wind pace of 150-160 kmph, gusting to 175 kmph.
For reference, the IMD categorises a system as a Cyclonic Storm when its 3-minute common most sustained wind speeds fall between 63-88 kmph. Similarly, a Severe Cyclonic Storm has winds between 89-117 kmph, a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm between 118-165 kmph, and an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm between 166-220 kmph. Wind speeds above 221 kmph give rise to a Super Cyclone.
Mocha’s predicted wind depth submit landfall.
(TWC Met Team)
Meanwhile, the main variations between the landfall predictions made by IMD-GFS and ECMWF fashions have decreased significantly since yesterday.
According to the IMD-GFS mannequin, Mocha is anticipated to proceed transferring north-northeastwards and cross southeast Bangladesh and north Myanmar coasts — between Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and Kyaukpyu (Myanmar), near Sittwe (Myanmar) — round Sunday midday.
On the opposite hand, the NWP mannequin of ECMWF signifies Mocha will retain its Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm standing till Sunday afternoon, and subsequently make landfall by Sunday night. It provides that the cyclonic winds will quickly weaken instantly after landfall.
As for the cyclone’s affect on India, solely the northeastern components of the nation can be affected by intense rains over the weekend. The remainder of the nation will proceed to reel beneath heat and dry circumstances.
For up to date info and detailed protection of Mocha’s intensification, motion and affect, keep tuned to The Weather Channel India.
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