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Match highlights of each Premier League sport to be proven on the Sky Sports web site and app simply after full-time; watch Crystal Palace vs Manchester City, Fulham vs Arsenal and Newcastle vs Wolves reside on Sky Sports
By Lewis Jones, @_LJones_
Jones Knows sees issues for Tottenham and Manchester City this weekend as he unleashes his betting evaluation on the ten Premier League fixtures.
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports
Such is Crystal Palace’s present malaise of being 9 video games and not using a win added to Manchester City being Manchester City, the market is dominated by Pep Guardiola’s aspect who’re 1/3 with Sky Bet for victory.
However, when Palace play beneath the lights at Selhurst Park, my tendency is to get them on my aspect – the nice outdated floor can rock like no different can and genuinely could make an enormous distinction. Since Patrick Vieira took cost, Palace have performed 13 fixtures at residence in video games kicking off at 5.30pm or later they usually have misplaced simply 3 times, together with avoiding defeat to Manchester City final season in a 0-0 draw. Newcastle, Liverpool and Manchester United additionally all did not beat Palace beneath these circumstances this season so the market might have failed to offer Palace the respect they most likely deserve at residence. The 9/4 for them to keep away from defeat is a tempter.
Backing the draw and beneath 2.5 targets at 5/1 with Sky Bet ought to offer you a greater run in your cash than the percentages recommend.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Fulham vs Arsenal, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports
This fixture has fallen on the good time for Arsenal and I’m anticipating them to dispatch Fulham with out an excessive amount of fuss.
Joao Palhinha is lacking with suspension once more for the hosts and his affect was sorely missed at Brentford final Monday while Aleksandar Mitrovic did not look overly interested by that encounter. It was a efficiency extra in line with Fulham’s underlying numbers this season which have pointed to an enormous overachievement when it comes to their outcomes.
Fulham’s anticipated targets towards document stays the worst within the Premier League (44.2), pointing in direction of high-quality possibilities being supplied up. You cannot be that beneficiant to groups in direction of the highest of the Premier League as maybe it explains why Fulham have taken only one level from eight video games towards groups within the prime six this season.
Arsenal to win and beneath 4.5 targets at 10/11 with Sky Bet provides a pleasant enhance from the 11/20 accessible on a straight-away win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-3 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals (10/11 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Manchester United vs Southampton, Sunday 2pm
When a staff is on the top of a hiding there’s a principle that their subsequent few fixtures shall be all about being defensively safe. Manchester United will be forgiven for his or her dangerous second half on the workplace at Liverpool, the place particular person errors and large quantities of fatigue can begin to clarify the extraordinary collapse fairly than too many collective points. I’m treating that outcome as an anomaly and never studying an excessive amount of into it.
Erik ten Hag shall be demanding safety-first defending and a clean-sheet mentality right here the place their attacking sport may be sacrificed barely to verify Southampton aren’t even given a sniff of an upset.
Although three video games is a small pattern dimension to be making too many sweeping statements, Southampton’s bodily and defensive output has been improved beneath Ruben Selles, conceding only one objective as their defensive construction and dedication to the trigger appears revigorated. With all that in thoughts, a low scoring encounter does appear the doubtless avenue this match will meander down. Under 2.5 targets at 5/4 with Sky Bet seems greater than honest sufficient however I’d go somewhat additional than that and take the 5/2 on provide for a 0-0 at half-time.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0
West Ham vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm
I’m going to roll out a staple guess on West Ham residence video games concerning their gradual beginning nature, particularly when the environment is flat. Opposition groups have managed to submit two or extra pictures heading in the right direction in 9 of the final 10 first halves of Premier League video games at The London Stadium. The solely staff that did not handle that was Everton of their closing sport beneath Lampard.
Villa are recognized for quick begins, having scored 9 targets within the opening quarter-hour of Premier League video games this season – that is the joint-most with Brighton. And with one other prickly residence environment predicted and the potential for the Hammers to be sleepy out of the traps once more following their Thursday evening journey to Cyprus. I’m completely happy to again the 8/11 with Sky Bet for the primary half pictures heading in the right direction guess to land once more in a sport the place a low-scoring draw is definitely a runner too.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Newcastle vs Wolves, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports
This may very well be a season-defining sport for Newcastle. Eddie Howe’s aspect are low on confidence, low on targets and arrive at a crossroads for whether or not they’ll be taking the expressway to the Champions League or a extra bumpy route south.
They are simply opposable at 8/13 with Sky Bet based mostly on their malfunctioning attacking performances of late, having scored simply three targets of their final eight Premier League video games. Teams might have labored them out.
And they do not come extra tactically conscious than Julen Lopetegui, who has overseen an enormous enchancment and has taken 17 factors from his 11 Premier League video games answerable for Wolves. He’ll have a plan to stifle Howe’s assault, a lot in the best way Bournemouth, Crystal Palace, Leeds and West Ham have all restricted the Toon to only two targets in a set of fixtures a European contender must be posting a a lot increased return of targets in.
The draw jumps off the web page at 11/4 with Sky Bet. Of all Premier League fixtures performed 15 or extra occasions, this one has seen the very best share finish in attracts with 10 of these final 15 ending in stalemate. Add one other one to that checklist.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
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