Watch free Premier League highlights of all matches simply after full time; watch Nottingham Forest vs Brentford & Fulham vs Chelsea all reside on Sky Sports

Jones Knows is backing a longshot within the Super Sunday conflict between Nottingham Forest and Brentford…

Nottingham Forest vs Brentford, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Thomas Frank is a savvy operator who is aware of tips on how to puzzle clear up however the stability hasn’t appeared fairly proper this season together with his Brentford aspect. They’ve solely crushed Fulham throughout all competitions in 90 minutes and if you think about how laborious Nottingham Forest are to beat at house, shedding simply two of their final 17 matches on the City Ground, the 6/4 with Sky Bet on an away win does look skinny. Forest on the draw no guess market at 10/11 appears backable to me.

Give me a longshot any day of the week although – and I’d moderately take an opportunity on the 50/1 first goalscorer value of Aaron Hickey for Brentford. The Scottish full-back is now a mainstay on this Brentford aspect, beginning the final 11 Premier League video games, and is creating within the normal method you’d count on when taking part in underneath Frank.

His attacking output from his full-back place is spiking, too. He’s had seven photographs at objective in his final 5 video games, together with testing Nick Pope with a strike from a good angle within the 1-0 defeat at Newcastle. And despite the fact that he is by no means scored for the Bees, one is likely to be across the nook with the 50/1 too good to disregard this weekend.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Aaron Hickey to score first (50/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

Fulham vs Chelsea, Monday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports

As somebody who places plenty of emphasis on the underlying numbers when making assessments of groups, this fixture is troubling me. All the info is telling me to again Chelsea at Evens with Sky Bet however my eyes inform me in any other case. I’m torn.

Fulham are a crew I not often think about on account of their fixed defying of their efficiency information. The high quality of likelihood they provide as much as the opposition equates to 1.79 value of anticipated targets per 90 – it is a determine that ought to have them rated as a relegation-threatened aspect and hasn’t improved this season. Southampton had been relegated with an anticipated goals-against file of 1.63 per 90 final season.

Marco Silva’s aspect have conceded 3.5 targets fewer than their anticipated targets confronted this season – that is the very best within the Premier League. They are at it once more.

I’ve been satisfied a regression to the imply is coming with Fulham by way of their outcomes dropping to a stage related to a relegation crew, however they continue to be defiant, even since shedding Aleksander Mitrovic. They even misplaced the anticipated targets battle to Luton at house and nonetheless gained the sport. My thoughts has been boggled by Silva’s aspect.

And then you’ve gotten Chelsea, who the underlying numbers recommend they’ve been very unlucky in making the membership’s worst-ever begin after six video games in a Premier League season based mostly on anticipated targets each for and in opposition to, which ranks them sixth for anticipated targets for and third for anticipated targets in opposition to.

Mauricio Pochettino’s males have created higher possibilities than their opponents in all six Premier League video games this season.

What to do then? Trust the numbers? Or go together with my intestine which is telling me to swerve Chelsea? Numbers wins.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2