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Match highlights of each Premier League recreation to be proven on the Sky Sports web site and app shortly after full-time; watch Manchester City vs Leeds, Liverpool vs Brentford, Newcastle vs Arsenal and Nottingham Forest vs Southampton dwell on Sky Sports
By Lewis Jones, @_LJones_
Jones Knows takes purpose on the 10 Premier League video games throughout the lengthy weekend.
Newcastle vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
With attracts no good for Arsenal, this has the texture of an incident-packed encounter involving two groups with historical past and a growing needle. The 0-0 draw earlier within the marketing campaign noticed the 2 managers have phrases on the touchline in a recreation that produced 9 yellow playing cards, following on from the 2-0 win for Newcastle final season the place Arsenal’s high 4 cost floundered in spectacular vogue.
Mikel Arteta’s boys have to play with bravery and threat to try to turn out to be simply the third group to beat Newcastle at St James’ Park within the final 24 Premier League fixtures to be able to hold tabs on Manchester City.
Eddie’s Howe males, who’re averaging 2.9 objectives per recreation over the past 9 fixtures, will subsequently get loads of moments to reveal an Arsenal defence that is still on the decline having conceded 14 objectives of their seven matches. Teams are discovering it simpler to create high quality probabilities towards the Gunners, who’ve solely saved six clear sheets of their final 24 fixtures throughout all competitions.
Goals could circulate often at both finish, so the 4/5 on each groups scoring and over 2.5 objectives does make enchantment in a recreation the place Arsenal’s title problem seems more likely to formally finish.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-2
West Ham vs Manchester United, Sunday 7pm
Backing opposition groups to make quick begins towards West Ham on the London Stadium has been a worthwhile technique this season – and it seems a runner once more right here.
Opposition groups have managed to publish two or extra pictures heading in the right direction in 13 of the final 15 first halves of Premier League video games on the London Stadium. The solely two that did not handle that had been Everton in Frank Lampard’s final recreation and Southampton.
I’d absolutely count on United to cowl their pictures heading in the right direction within the first half line of three or extra at 11/10, however I’d go additional than that with assured expectations round them beginning quick. Erik ten Hag’s aspect have been main on the break in six of their final 9 fixtures and squandered 1.35 value of first half anticipated objectives towards Brighton on Thursday evening. United have additionally stopped the opposition from scoring a primary half objective in 25 of their 33 Premier League video games, greater than every other aspect this season.
So, a manner of getting a United constructive consequence in your aspect at a decent worth could be to again United to win the primary half at 6/4 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Fulham vs Leicester, Monday 3pm
If Leicester are to go down, they’re going down swinging. In the 4 video games below Dean Smith there have been 13 objectives scored, working to a 3.25 common – above common however nothing spectacular. However, for those who dig into the anticipated objectives knowledge, then these matches have yielded 18.1 objectives based on the standard of probabilities created – that is 4.5 anticipated objectives per recreation and the matches have actually felt end-to-end and a bit chaotic on the attention.
This recreation might comply with swimsuit and the market hasn’t factored within the Smith chaos issue as 4/5 for over 2.5 objectives is out there with Sky Bet. Leicester have additionally confronted a median of 16.5 pictures per recreation below Smith, with Everton managing to publish 24 in that extraordinary recreation on Monday Night Football. This had led me to the participant pictures market the place Fulham’s most potent attacking weapon, Willian, charges as a juicy guess to fireside pictures. He’s had 10 in his final three begins with him showcasing all of the zip and directness of when he was at his finest for Chelsea. The 2/1 with Sky Bet for him to publish three or extra pictures and 11/2 for 4 or extra pictures ought to present an excellent run on your cash.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Brighton vs Everton, Monday 5.30pm
For a group that go off so brief available in the market, Brighton do include a warning for people who prefer to again groups at odds-on within the match consequence markets. There is an air of inconsistency concerning their capacity to search out their well beyond a well-organised low block at residence. Fulham beat them 1-0, Nottingham Forest floor out a 0-0 whereas Crystal Palace and Bournemouth had been each solely seen off by a solitary objective. The likes of Karou Mitoma and Julio Enciso are horrifying abilities, however they do lack a little bit of ruthlessness in entrance of objective.
Everton’s purpose shall be to remain within the recreation for so long as attainable and attempt to construct some momentum from set items. That tactic is far simpler with Dominic Calvert-Lewin main the road. Everton to win or draw at 9/4 with Sky Bet stands out on the costs.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Nottingham Forest vs Southampton, Monday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports
If Southampton had the authority, energy and combat required to win a soccer match away on the City Ground – a correct hotbed below the floodlights – then they would not be lower adrift on the backside. Games have come and gone. No factors have been taken. The finish is nigh for them.
Forest, who’re aggressive and possess loads of nastiness to their recreation, are more likely to swallow timid Saints up within the firepit environment.
Steve Cooper’s group have discovered a system at residence, taking 24 factors there this season and have misplaced simply two of their final 13 video games at their well-known outdated floor. The residence win at 11/10 with Sky Bet actually is a tempter.
Morgan Gibbs-White stays overpriced within the goalscorer markets too. A participant of his expertise should not be 4/1 to attain towards the basement boys. He averages two pictures in residence matches this season, scoring 3 times to a backdrop of 4.12 value of anticipated objectives, showcasing an underperformance based on high quality of likelihood created.
Also, penalty duties now could fall at his door having scored from the spot towards Brighton whereas Brennan Johnson, who missed earlier within the recreation, was off the pitch. The 6/1 for Gibbs-White to attain in a house win charges as a backable wager.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
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