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By Lewis Jones, @_LJones_
After 4 right outcomes from 4 on Tuesday, together with tipping the 0-0 between Chelsea and Liverpool at 11/1, Jones Knows foresees one other stumble for Man Utd.
Manchester United vs Brentford, Wednesday 8pm
Bravery will likely be required if backing Manchester United at odds-on right here following their efficiency at St James’ Park. Cracks are beginning to seem, particularly with out the affect of Casemiro, who stays suspended.
For a group that have been being talked about as a possible outdoors shot for the title a number of weeks again, United’s file at defending set-pieces is fairly eye opening. They have shipped 120 pictures from such conditions this season – solely Bournemouth (137) have conceded extra. In their final seven Premier League video games, an opposition centre-back has managed to register a shot on United’s objective. You can relaxation assured this space of weak point can have been observed by set-piece kings Brentford, whose file from such conditions when it comes to targets scored (12) is barely bettered by Tottenham (13) this season.
Ethan Pinnock is normally the primary level of contact from Brentford’s lengthy throws and deliveries into the field and he is been turning his wholesome touches within the field ratio into pictures and targets of late. He has scored twice within the final 5 video games and one way or the other failed to attain from an opportunity that was recorded as 0.72 price of an anticipated objective vs Everton. The 11/8 with Sky Bet for him to have no less than one shot is dripping with potential, as is the 66/1 first goalscorer value.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
West Ham vs Newcastle, Wednesday 8pm, stay on Sky Sports
Joe Willock is simply how I like my bacon: streaky.
When he is obtained the style of targets, he’s a participant to observe as recognized by his run of scoring in seven consecutive matches throughout his mortgage spell with Newcastle within the 21/22 marketing campaign. There have been two different events of him scoring back-to-back for the Toon, the newest of which got here in November final 12 months when discovering the web towards Southampton and Chelsea.
Eddie Howe utilises Willock to most potential by permitting him the liberty to get into harmful positions within the field to transform from the ample quantity of high quality huge play that is available in from Kieran Trippier. His objective towards Manchester United on the weekend was a living proof. That degree of affect may be seen by his touches within the opposition field knowledge – 3.7-per-90 over the past three seasons towards a backdrop of a 1.7 pictures per-90.
In his final three matches, he has posted 11 pictures and I might expect him to bother West Ham – a group he is flourished towards earlier than, scoring twice and having a objective disallowed (within the 1-1 draw earlier this season) from simply 177 minutes on the pitch.
His pictures costs of two or extra at 11/10, three or extra at 7/2 and the ten/1 for him to attain are all very good costs to assault.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
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