Jones Knows thinks Newcastle have the defensive knowhow to frustrate Manchester City and get their top-four cost again on monitor.

Manchester City vs Newcastle, Saturday 12.30

It takes a courageous punter – or maybe a barely deranged one – to again the opposition group to maintain out Manchester City at house contemplating they’ve scored 82 objectives of their final 24 video games on the Etihad Stadium. Just the cool 3.41 objectives per sport then.

However, Newcastle possess the defensive construction and talent to noticeably frustrate to ensure that me to imagine that this sport goes to go down a scrappy, low-scoring avenue with the below 2.5 objectives line at 6/5 with Sky Bet standing out. In 5 video games away from house within the Premier League this season in opposition to the normal ‘huge six’ and Brighton, Newcastle have conceded simply three objectives and saved clear sheets at Arsenal, Manchester United and The Amex – all of these ended 0-0. On common these video games have seen a complete of simply 1.2 objectives per sport.

Howe has constructed the perfect defence within the high 4 divisions of English soccer, conceding simply 15 objectives in whole and simply six within the final 14 Premier League video games. Man City have solely had two 0-0 attracts of their final 129 house video games in all competitions – time for a 3rd then at 14/1 with Sky Bet?

If Newcastle are to play the frustration sport on City then goalkeeper Nick Pope could possibly be a shout for a yellow card too at 9/1 with Sky Bet.

Pope has been booked for timewasting seven occasions in his Premier League profession, together with twice this season in wins over Chelsea and Tottenham.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-0

Arsenal vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

A tricky betting warmth this one with Arsenal at 1/5 with Sky Bet. The Gunners charge as very dependable clients for short-price backers when a bottom-half group rocks up at The Emirates. Mikel Arteta’s aspect are unbeaten of their final 34 house Premier League video games in opposition to newly-promoted groups, profitable 29.

However, Bournemouth have confirmed sufficient attacking enchancment of their final 5 video games to make each groups to attain a runner right here at 6/5 with Sky Bet. Gary O’Neil’s group carry good tempo and trickery in large areas now with Dango Ouattara and Dominic Solanke does provide loads of high quality by means of the center. An anticipated objectives return of 6.55 from these 5 fixtures is an enormous effort contemplating they’ve performed Newcastle, Brighton and Manchester City in that run.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm

I flirted with the concept of backing Crystal Palace for relegation at 10/1 two weeks in the past however new proof has hit me sq. within the face to revise my pondering.

It’s the impression and significance of getting Joachim Anderson and Marc Guehi obtainable.

In 14 video games below Patrick Vieira, together with 5 video games after the World Cup this season, the place Palace have not be capable to play that partnership they’ve received simply twice, conceding 1.6 objectives per 90 minutes. Compare that to the 48 occasions the pair have performed collectively and you’ve got a 32 per cent win charge with simply 1.1 objectives conceded.

From an enormous pattern dimension, Palace’s factors per sport ratio doubles when Andersen and Guehi begin collectively. And that impression has been seen within the final two fixtures the place Palace drew with Brentford regardless of being the higher aspect and within the 0-0 draw with Liverpool the place they restricted Jurgen Klopp’s males to only 0.9 value of anticipated objectives.

I’m undecided Unai Emery has fairly discovered the correct stability in Villa’s play at house, so I’m completely happy to place religion within the Andersen-Guehi axis to steer Palace to a consequence with 8/11 with Sky Bet on provide for them to keep away from defeat.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Brighton vs West Ham, Saturday 3pm

Such is the excessive risk-reward type that Roberto De Zerbi adopts, Brighton are at all times susceptible to groups that may play shrewdly in transition. West Ham are a kind of groups and there have been constructive indicators concerning their attacking output of their final two video games, creating an anticipated objectives determine of three.37 from open play of their final two matches in opposition to Nottingham Forest and Manchester United.

Said Benrahma (11/1 with Sky Bet) and Jarrod Bowen (12/1) are due to this fact value a stab within the first goalscorer markets. Benrahma is a really streaky buyer the place confidence performs an enormous consider his capability to supply and he is appeared very sharp in his final two begins, grabbing two assists and a aim. Meanwhile, Bowen stays West Ham’s key attacker with their counter-attack sport primarily based round him discovering pockets. He’s had 20 pictures in his final eight video games and was unlucky when putting the submit final weekend within the win over Forest.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Chelsea vs Leeds, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

The lack of creativeness, tempo and construction to Chelsea’s assaults is slowly decapitating Graham Potter’s status week-by-week.

This is now an assault that has scored simply six objectives of their final 15 video games throughout all competitions. With confidence so low, the failure to attain an early aim in entrance of a baying Stamford Bridge crowd will make this one other extremely daunting afternoon for Potter, particularly in opposition to a Leeds defence that’s exhibiting indicators of being harder to beat below Javi Gracia.

In his two video games in cost the defensive course of has yielded an anticipated objectives in opposition to determine of simply 0.60 as they restricted Southampton to scraps within the 1-0 win and have been unlucky to concede two sensational strikes from distance within the midweek 2-0 defeat at Fulham.

However, they’ve additionally failed to attain in 5 of their final eight video games in all competitions so Chelsea, comparatively safe on the again in Potter’s form, must be assured of a clear sheet. It all provides as much as a low-scoring affair and below 2.5 objectives backers in Chelsea matches are in all probability in for an additional pay day. They have copped in 13 of the final 15 matches to a really wholesome revenue margin. The 10/11 with Sky Bet for the sport to have lower than three objectives once more seems to be an incredible start line with the 0-0 appropriate rating at 11/1 value some pennies too.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-0

Wolves vs Tottenham, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Wolves are making a behavior of saving their greatest soccer for first halves while Tottenham commonly end strongly – as proven by their factors haul of 47 within the second half of video games which might put them joint-top with Arsenal in a second-half solely Premier League.

So, investing in Julen Lopetegui’s aspect to start out quick and Spurs to indicate their greatest within the second half makes excellent sense however making an attempt to pinpoint which markets to assault is the difficult bit. The easy one could be cut up stakes on the half-time/full-time markets of Wolves/Draw (14/1 with Sky Bet) or Wolves/Tottenham (22/1) and maybe take into account the 11/4 on Wolves profitable at half-time.

Another approach to get a powerful Wolves begin in your aspect is to again their first-half pictures on track numbers with two or extra (4/6) and three or extra (2/1) each standing out as thrilling bets. Spurs have conceded two or extra first-half pictures on track in 11 of their 12 Premier League away matches this season with the general common popping out at three per sport. Wolves can hit these numbers.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Southampton vs Leicester, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

James Maddison being touch-and-go for matches makes my life as an individual tasked with making predictions and worthwhile betting calls very robust. His affect on whether or not Leicester carry out or not is big, to the extent he is in all probability crucial particular person participant to a group in your entire league.

Leicester have taken only one level from a potential 18 with out Maddison because the World Cup and with him they’ve averaged nearly two objectives per sport this season. The vibes are that he’ll be obtainable for this one, so Leicester to edge it from a match prediction perspective it’s.

If he does play, I do just like the probabilities of him making two or extra fouls within the sport at 3/1 with Sky Bet as he’ll be tasked with urgent the very slippery Romeo Lavia. The teen has been the shining mild for Saints this season and his capability to maintain the ball in tight conditions while drawing fouls goes to take him to the very highest echelons of the sport.

He has been fouled 24 occasions in his final six appearances with central gamers like Alex Hunt (2), Tyler Adams (3), Enzo Fernandez (2), Joao Felix (5), Matheus Cunha (4), Christian Norgaard (2) and Bruno Guimaraes (5) all racking up a number of fouls in opposition to the Saints with Lavia on the coronary heart. In what could possibly be a scrappy encounter, Maddison, who averages 1.19 fouls per sport and has made two or extra fouls in seven of his 16 Premier League begins this season, seems to be overpriced at 3/1.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Nottingham Forest vs Everton, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Everton’s offside numbers have not rocketed as anticipated below Sean Dyche. From the beginning of the 2018/19 season to his remaining day within the job in April 2022, Dyche’s Burnley have been caught offside extra occasions than another Premier League group. That whole of 350 was 65 greater than another membership as their direct type into the ahead line does enhance the probabilities of gamers straying.

So, it has been stunning that they’ve solely averaged 1.6 per sport below Dyche up to now which is consistent with what the market expects. But I’m a stickler for believing in a possible angle – to my detriment principally – so I’ve been tempted again in by Everton’s offsides costs for this sport, hoping that the six-pointer type sport will see Everton play on the front-foot and take a look at the Forest offside line.

The Evens obtainable with Sky Bet for Everton to be caught offside two or extra occasions is sensible however the three or extra (11/4) and 4 or extra (13/2) are value watching within the hope that the offside Dyche-ball frenzy sparks into life. Amadou Onana, who’s enjoying increased below Dyche, has been answerable for the final two Everton offsides and may be backed right here at 11/4 to stray as soon as once more.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Liverpool vs Manchester United, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

For a group which have misplaced simply as soon as of their final 35 house video games within the Premier League, having the ability to get 8/11 with Sky Bet on Liverpool within the draw no-bet market is sensible for people who like enjoying quick. Jurgen Klopp’s males have began with 11 totally different defensive line-ups this season however lastly all 4 of their first alternative are match and enjoying with good rhythm. Ibrahim Konate and Virgil van Dijk have accomplished 90 minutes as a pair simply thrice this season with Liverpool beating Napoli, Tottenham and Wolves.

This is the perfect base that Jurgen Klopp desires to construct from as Konate and Van Dijk are each aggressive defenders which are completely happy to play a excessive line which permits Liverpool to squeeze the sport.

It’s been an extremely draining schedule for Manchester United, enjoying a match nearly each three days because the return from the World Cup. I’d be stunned if they will be capable to match Liverpool’s depth at key moments within the sport.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Brentford vs Fulham, Monday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports

Despite Fulham’s magnificent set of outcomes, I’m nonetheless not satisfied they defend the guts of the pitch with a lot conviction or are creating sufficient high-quality possibilities to be outlined as a top-eight group.

Being good at scoring from vary and being ruthlessly scientific from low-quality possibilities is part of soccer however it’s an unsuitable long-term tactic of making an attempt to win matches. To have received two and drawn the opposite of their final three video games regardless of solely creating 0.34 (vs Brighton), 0.44 (vs Wolves) and 0.22 (vs Leeds) value of anticipated objectives is sort of extraordinary. Football is a fine-margin sport the place the underlying numbers do finally bore out into outcomes over a protracted interval so a regression to extra inconsistent set of outcomes is coming for Fulham in the event that they hold posting most of these numbers. Brentford look a good wager to me at 19/20 with Sky Bet.

This is a group unbeaten in eight house Premier League video games, profitable three of their final 4, conceding simply three objectives of their final seven video games.

And I’m nonetheless satisfied Fulham are susceptible by means of the centre of their defence when a top-class centre-forward rocks up. Central strikers like Harry Kane, Rodrigo, Dominic Solanke, Gianluca Scamacca, Michail Antonio, Alexander Isak, Callum Wilson and Toney himself all have scored this season in opposition to Marco Silva’s males.

So taking Ivan Toney, who has seven in his final 9, to attain in a Brentford win charges as the most effective wagers of the weekend at 2/1 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0