The World Cup spherical of 16 is in full swing and our tipster Jones Knows takes to the prediction chair to dig out some juicy betting angles.

Brazil vs South Korea, Monday 7pm

The time is now for Brazil to point out they’re worthy favourites for this World Cup.

To my eye, there would not appear an terrible lot between 4 or 5 groups on the head of the betting and in match soccer the margins are so wonderful, so I’m struggling to see why Brazil are so sturdy at 9/4 with Sky Bet within the outright market.

South Korea have proven a transparent defensive vulnerability at coping with crosses into their field so Brazil ought to be capable to fill their boots at numerous factors on this match – because the match costs recommend so.

Something which does look a shade overpriced is the South Korea photographs line. Although they lack high quality and defensive know-how, Paulo Bento’s aspect do transfer the ball properly in midfield and will not be overawed by taking part in Brazil. That confidence in getting up the pitch does often result in good territory and alternatives for photographs.

They’ve had 35 photographs in complete of their final two video games towards Ghana and Portugal when tasked with chasing the sport and the identical situation ought to play out right here with not a lot to lose towards the match favourites. I make the Evens with Sky Bet about them having 9 or extra photographs particularly reasonable certainly.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

Morocco vs Spain, Tuesday 3pm

Gary Neville copped a good bit of noise for questioning Spain’s means to attain targets simply earlier than they smashed seven previous Costa Rica. It’s an ideal instance of how one freak recreation should not overshadow longer-term proof. In their different two video games towards Germany and Japan, they created a mean anticipated targets tally of 0.83 per 90 which is extra according to Neville’s evaluation of them when assessing their assault in the previous couple of years.

That is not a determine that screams a staff utterly at one with their attacking course of. Morocco, with a hefty variety of followers in attendance, have the construction in defence to stifle Spain in a low-scoring encounter.

When foreseeing a low-goal complete in match soccer, the draw and the sport to go the space is a large runner as the proper scores of 0-0 or 1-1 take up a giant chunk of what the doable final result will probably be if the targets are to be sparse.

Looking in any respect last-16 World Cup clashes for the reason that 1998 match, 9 of the 48 matches have gone all the way in which to penalties – figuring out round an 18 per cent strike price. You can get 11/2 with Sky Bet to your cash for this encounter to go to spot-kicks which suggests a 15 per cent probability of that situation occurring. I’d have it nearer to 25 per cent, in order that makes the 11/2 a guess.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 (Spain to win on penalties)

Portugal vs Switzerland, Tuesday 7pm

I feel the markets have priced this one all incorrect. Portugal are 2/5 with Sky Bet to qualify and Switzerland are 7/4.

Those figures vastly undervalue the Swiss and their nous at taking part in in these sort of knockout conditions – they’re a devilishly arduous staff to knock out as seen when taking each France and Spain to penalties within the final European Championships. Keep it easy and again them to qualify towards a Portugal aspect that look overrated on what we have seen to this point.

Along with staying in matches when underneath the cosh, what good match sides do is carry a giant risk from set-pieces.

As talked about, last-16 World Cup matches since 1998 common a objective from a set-piece each 0.6 video games which is a large quantity and reveals simply how essential these margins may be in knockout soccer.

Manchester City defender Manuel Akanji has had three photographs at this World Cup, producing an anticipated targets tally of 0.4 as he in some way did not open the scoring from eight yards out within the win over Cameroon. He is a risk from set-piece conditions and the 11/10 with Sky Bet for him to have a number of photographs appears to be like a improbable start line for a punt on this match. Those with a better need to dream must also be pointed within the path of the 66/1 for him to score first and the 40/1 to attain a header.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 (Switzerland to win on penalties)