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India Could Soon Experience Heat Waves Beyond Human Survival Limit: World Bank

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India Could Soon Experience Heat Waves Beyond Human Survival Limit: World Bank

Rising warmth throughout India can jeopardize financial productiveness, the report warned. (Representational)

Thiruvananthapuram:

Severe warmth waves, answerable for 1000’s of deaths throughout India over the previous few a long time, are growing with alarming frequency and shortly the nation might change into one of many first locations on the planet to expertise warmth waves that break the human survivability restrict, based on a brand new report.

The World Bank report titled “Climate Investment Opportunities in India’s Cooling Sector” mentioned the nation is experiencing larger temperatures that arrive earlier and keep far longer.

“In April 2022, India was plunged into the grip of a punishing early spring heat wave that brought the country to a standstill, with temperatures in the capital, New Delhi, topping 46 degrees Celsius (oC) (114 degrees Fahrenheit). The month of March, which witnessed extraordinary spikes in temperatures, was the hottest ever recorded”, it mentioned.

The report will probably be launched in the course of the two-day “India Climate and Development Partners’ Meet” being organised by World Bank in partnership with the Kerala authorities.

Predicting that warmth waves scenario in India might break the human survivability restrict, it mentioned the latest warmth wave helps what many local weather scientists have lengthy cautioned about just about rising temperatures throughout South Asia.

“In August 2021, the Sixth Assessment Report of the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warned that the Indian subcontinent would suffer more frequent and intense heat waves over the coming decade.

“The G20 Climate Risk Atlas additionally warned in 2021 that warmth waves throughout India have been more likely to final 25 instances longer by 2036-65 if carbon emissions stay excessive, as within the IPCC’s worst-case emission situation,” the report said.

It also warned that rising heat across India can jeopardize economic productivity.

“Up to 75 p.c of India’s workforce, or 380 million individuals, depend upon heat-exposed labor, at instances working in doubtlessly life-threatening temperatures. …By 2030, India could account for 34 million of the projected 80 million world job losses from warmth stress related productiveness decline”, the report said.

It further said India showed the largest heat exposure impacts on heavy labor among South Asian countries, with more than 101 billion hours lost a year.

Analysis by global management consulting firm, McKinsey & Company shows that lost labor from rising heat and humidity could put up to 4.5 per cent of India’s GDP- approximately USD 150-250 billion – at risk by the end of this decade.

It said India’s long-term food security and public health security will depend on a reliable cold chain network.

Transporting food and pharmaceutical goods across India requires a system of cold chain refrigeration that works every step of the way.

“A single temperature lapse within the journey can break the chilly chain, spoiling recent produce and weakening the efficiency of vaccines. With solely 4 per cent of recent produce in India coated by chilly chain amenities, annual estimated meals losses whole USD 13 billion”, it said.

It also noted that the third largest producer of pharmaceuticals in the world, pre-COVID-19, India lost approximately 20 percent of temperature-sensitive medical products and 25 percent of vaccines due to broken cold chains, leading to losses of USD 313 million a year.

“As temperatures rise throughout India, so will the demand for cooling. However, in a rustic the place two-thirds of the inhabitants stay on lower than USD 2 a day, and the place the typical value of an air-conditioning unit can range between USD 260 and USD 500, air-cooling programs are a luxurious accessible solely to a couple.” According to analysis presented in the India Cooling Action Plan (ICAP), only eight per cent of Indian households own air-conditioning units.

“Indoor and electrical followers might help to keep up thermal consolation, however these too are costly to purchase and inefficient. As a outcome, many poor and marginalized communities throughout India are extra weak to excessive warmth, residing in inadequately ventilated, scorching and crowded properties with out correct entry to cooling”, the report warned.

Staying cool during extreme heat is about more than just comfort – it can constitute the precarious line between life and death, it added.

(Except for the headline, this story has not been edited by NDTV staff and is published from a syndicated feed.)

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