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By Lewis Jones, Football Journalist
There will probably be targets galore within the SNF conflict on the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, writes tipster Jones Knows…
Tottenham vs Liverpool, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
If you had to decide on a workforce to pay good cash to observe, Tottenham could be high of my listing on the minute. This needs to be a unbelievable and doubtlessly barmy sport involving two red-hot assaults. You can get 22/1 on a 0-0 which have to be up there with the largest ever worth for that scoreline in a gathering between two ‘large six’ groups. The aim expectancy is nearly at 4 targets. It’s 4/5 for over 3.5 targets. Scarily excessive. Don’t again that. Back Heung-Min Son.
You can relaxation assured Son will probably be testing the Liverpool offside entice on common events, particularly now from his new central placing position that has seen him rating 5 targets throughout his final three begins. Son has recorded a whopping 5.81 price of anticipated targets in his 11 Premier League begins vs Liverpool, scoring 5 occasions.
The drawback we’ve right here is his worth, 6/4 with Sky Bet may be very meh. There is a approach to juice it up although by including him to be caught offside not less than as soon as within the match which, courtesy of the Bet Builder characteristic, rockets the worth to 7/2. He has been caught offside 11 occasions in these 11 begins towards Jurgen Klopp’s facet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Nottingham Forest vs Brentford, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Thomas Frank is a savvy operator who is aware of the best way to puzzle resolve however the steadiness hasn’t seemed fairly proper this season along with his Brentford facet. They’ve solely crushed Fulham throughout all competitions in 90 minutes and whenever you consider how arduous Nottingham Forest are to beat at dwelling, dropping simply two of their final 17 matches on the City Ground, the 6/4 with Sky Bet on an away win does look skinny. Forest on the draw no guess market at 10/11 appears to be like backable to me.
Give me a longshot any day of the week although – and I’d reasonably take an opportunity on the 50/1 first goalscorer worth of Aaron Hickey for Brentford. The Scottish full-back is now a mainstay on this Brentford facet, beginning the final 11 Premier League video games, and is growing within the traditional method you’d anticipate when enjoying underneath Frank.
His attacking output from his full-back place is spiking, too. He’s had seven photographs at aim in his final 5 video games, together with testing Nick Pope with a strike from a good angle within the 1-0 defeat at Newcastle. And regardless that he is by no means scored for the Bees, one may be across the nook with the 50/1 too good to disregard this weekend.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Aaron Hickey to score first (50/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Fulham vs Chelsea, Monday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports
As somebody who places a lot of emphasis on the underlying numbers when making assessments of groups, this fixture is troubling me. All the information is telling me to again Chelsea at Evens with Sky Bet however my eyes inform me in any other case. I’m torn.
Fulham are a workforce I hardly ever think about attributable to their fixed defying of their efficiency knowledge. The high quality of probability they provide as much as the opposition equates to 1.79 price of anticipated targets per 90 – it is a determine that ought to have them rated as a relegation-threatened facet and hasn’t improved this season. Southampton had been relegated with an anticipated targets towards report of 1.63 per 90 final season.
Marco Silva’s facet have conceded 3.5 targets fewer than their anticipated targets confronted this season – that is the best within the Premier League. They are at it once more.
I’ve been satisfied a regression to the imply is coming with Fulham by way of their outcomes dropping to a stage related to a relegation workforce, however they continue to be defiant, even since dropping Aleksander Mitrovic. They even misplaced the anticipated targets battle to Luton at dwelling and nonetheless received the sport. My thoughts has been boggled by Silva’s facet.
And then you will have Chelsea, who the underlying numbers counsel they’ve been very unlucky in making the membership’s worst-ever begin after six video games in a Premier League season based mostly on anticipated targets each for and towards, which ranks them sixth for anticipated targets for and third for anticipated targets towards.
Mauricio Pochettino’s males have created higher probabilities than their opponents in all six Premier League video games this season.
What to do then? Trust the numbers? Or go together with my intestine which is telling me to swerve Chelsea? Numbers wins.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2
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